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People at a night market in Chongqing, China, on July 6. Photo: CFOTO/Future Publishing via Getty Images
The popular view is that China’s household consumption relative to its gross domestic product is exceptionally low. We believe China’s consumption is seriously undercounted, especially in housing expenditure. While policymakers can do a lot more to support household consumption, China’s consumption should not be made to bear all the blame for global imbalances.
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China’s headline household consumption relative to its gross domestic product has been under 40 per cent in the past few years, much lower than the global average. But China’s consumption and living standards do not seem that low relative to other countries with similar incomes when measured in terms such as calorie intake, child stunting rate (4.6 per cent), urban living space (41 square metres or 441 sq ft per person), home ownership (at least 74 per cent), average years of schooling (about 10 years) and luxury goods sales.

Per capita, China’s protein intake ranked 9th in the world in 2021, according to data from the Food and Agriculture Organization, ahead of the United States (11th), Argentina (16th) and Denmark (30th). Chinese people are also top consumers of fruit and vegetables.

China enjoys world-class transport infrastructure and mobile and internet coverage. The remarkably low headline consumption rate is simply at odds with observations. China’s actual household consumption is much higher when properly adjusted for social transfers, purchasing power and housing expenditure.

Chinese households receive benefits such as subsidised education and healthcare provided by the state. Such social transfers in kind (STIK) were about 6.2 per cent of China’s GDP in 2019 and 6.4 per cent in 2021, up from 3 per cent two decades ago.

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As richer countries with generous welfare programmes tend to show higher STIK, comparing China’s STIK-boosted consumption rate won’t narrow its gap with the advanced economies. But it could bring it closer to the rates in developing countries.

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