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China’s housing market nightmare is nowhere near over as owners eye quick exits

While China’s September stimulus blitz has restored US$4 trillion of value to stock markets, the wealth effect in the property sector is less obvious and immediate

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Illustration: Henry Wong
Daniel Renin Shanghai,Yulu Aoin Hong KongandYuke Xiein Beijing
When Zhu Yufei came across reports that suggested a turnaround of mainland China’s property market was imminent, she felt a surge of optimism. Verbal assurance from top officials and fresh interest-rate cuts have suddenly drowned years of misery among homeowners like her.
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So far, that optimism has been fleeting.

The 41-year-old office clerk in Shanghai has been eager to sell her three-bedroom flat in the city’s southwestern Gubei district, only to find the market still in a spiral. Her agent has recommended cutting the asking price further.

“A package of policies will at least fuel a market rebound and I will take the opportunity to cash out,” Zhu said. “Taking a long view, I bet home prices will continue to decline, since the national economy is unlikely to grow rapidly again over the next decade.”

People looked at property models at a real estate sales office on June 4, 2024 in Shanghai. Photo: China News Service/VCG via Getty Images.
People looked at property models at a real estate sales office on June 4, 2024 in Shanghai. Photo: China News Service/VCG via Getty Images.

The sentiment on the other side of the fence is similar. Armed with a 20 million yuan (US$2.8 million) budget, Andy Zhao and his wife Amber Ying, who both work in the tech sector, have been spending most of their weekends searching for an ideal first home in Shanghai.

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They believe current market prices for new homes are still expensive and have decided to wait for another 5 to 10 per cent discount before committing themselves, given the lingering weakness in the broader economy.

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