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Philippines on tenterhooks as Beijing deploys ‘darker grey’ tactics in South China Sea

  • China has been taking more aggressive actions without crossing the threshold for armed conflict in the South China Sea, analysts say

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A woman holds a placard during a protest marking the eighth anniversary of the 2016 arbitration ruling over China’s claims in the South China Sea, in Quezon City. Photo: Reuters
Recent skirmishes in the disputed South China Sea show that Beijing has begun deploying “darker grey” tactics, analysts say, taking more aggressive actions without crossing the threshold for armed conflict.
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Observers point to the June 17 clash between China coastguard (CCG) personnel and Philippine Navy officers at the Second Thomas Shoal, which led to a Filipino officer losing a thumb, as a pivotal turning point in the conflict between Manila and Beijing over their overlapping maritime claims.

“China has indeed been evolving its grey zone actions. We are seeing more tactics being used, such as blocking supply missions and a greater willingness to engage in direct confrontations as evidenced by the June 17 incident in Ayungin Shoal,” Dindo Manhit, president of the Stratbase ADR Institute think tank, told This Week in Asia, referring to Manila’s term for the Second Thomas Shoal.

Defence analyst V.K. Parada said the incident was the first recorded instance of Chinese personnel deliberately boarding a commissioned Filipino vessel, unlike previous stand-offs between both countries.

“They seized the supplies and firearms aboard and threatened Navy personnel aboard with melee weapons – like pirates,” Parada said. The Filipino officer’s injury was the most serious incident since the Philippines began its resupply missions to the grounded BRP Sierra Madre vessel on the Second Thomas Shoal, he added.

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Observers pointed to more aggressive manoeuvres from the CCG and Beijing’s maritime militia.

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