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Online rumours of civil war in Philippines tied to China’s covert agenda

  • Analysts accuse Beijing of using cognitive warfare to destabilise the Philippines’ political landscape amid their South China Sea row

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Former Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte giving a speech in his hometown of Davao in January. Photo: AP
A recent surge of online rumours about civil war in the Philippines may be linked to China’s attempts to manipulate public opinion amid the South China Sea conflict, reflecting Beijing’s broader disinformation tactics and strategic goals.
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Analysts link such efforts to a broader cognitive warfare strategy by China, leveraging disinformation through social media and traditional channels in an attempt to sway public sentiment and destabilise the Philippines’ political landscape.

“What we are seeing is just the tip of the iceberg,” Sherwin Ona, a visiting fellow at the Institute for National Defence and Security Research think tank in Taiwan, told This Week in Asia. “We must brace ourselves for more of this.”

Last week, The Philippine Star reported on coordinated efforts by anonymous Chinese social media accounts that shared a November statement by Pantaleon Alvarez, a representative from Davao del Norte, calling for the secession of Mindanao’s southern islands from the rest of the Philippines.

Alvarez, a known ally of former Philippine leader Rodrigo Duterte, served as speaker of the House of Representatives under the ex-president.
Philippine House Speaker Pantaleon Alvarez bangs the gavel to begin a session in 2018. Photo: AP
Philippine House Speaker Pantaleon Alvarez bangs the gavel to begin a session in 2018. Photo: AP
Within days, more than 60 social media accounts posted about Mindanao’s “independence campaign”, fuelling speculation of conflict and blaming President Ferdinand Marcos Jnr’s “pro-United States” policy for the rift, the Philippine Star reported.
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