Advertisement

India election: with Modi’s BJP ‘hell-bent’ on a massive win, secularism hangs by a thread

  • India’s opposition faces an ‘existential crisis’ if it loses further ground to Narendra Modi’s ruling BJP in this year’s elections, analysts say
  • The PM has told parliament to expect big changes in his third term, with BJP leaders hinting at changing the constitution to declare a ‘Hindu Raj’

Reading Time:4 minutes
Why you can trust SCMP
6
Narendra Modi, India’s prime minister and leader of the ruling BJP, holds the party symbol during a campaign event in Chennai on Tuesday. Photo: AFP
India’s Prime Minister Narendra Modi is the favourite to win a high-stakes parliamentary election beginning next week that could usher in sweeping changes in the world’s largest democracy, amid its shifting social landscape and ascendancy in the global order.
Advertisement

Nearly 970 million people are eligible to cast their votes in India’s 18th general election. About 11 million election workers will be deployed to ensure smooth voting at more than 1 million polling stations. This year’s election-related expenditure is expected to surpass the US$8.7 billion spent at the previous polls in 2019.

For Modi, who sold tea at railway stations to make ends meet in his childhood, this election holds the potential to solidify his legacy as leader. The 73-year-old began his half-century political career as a foot soldier for the Hindu nationalist paramilitary group Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh, followed by a 15-year stint in the upper echelons of his ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP).

His electoral success has been formidable, not once facing a major defeat in any of the past three decades. If victorious, Modi would equal the three-term record of India’s first prime minister Jawaharlal Nehru, who was in office from 1947 to 1964.

“We got a hint of what’s at stake in this election in Mr Modi’s final speech in the last session of parliament,” said Arati Jerath, a Delhi-based political commentator and veteran journalist who expects Modi to overhaul India’s political system if he stays in power.

“Modi told the parliament to expect big decisions in the third term but didn’t spell out the specifics,” she said.

The BJP has always harboured reservations towards the word ‘secular’ in the constitution’s preamble. They undoubtedly aspire to remove it
Arati Jerath, political commentator
Thousands of candidates are set to vie for a seat in the 543-member Lok Sabha, the lower house of India’s parliament. The BJP, which secured a simple majority in the 2014 and 2019 elections, is aiming to garner a super majority, or two-thirds of the house, and be empowered to make constitutional changes.
Advertisement