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Can Japan PM Kishida survive kickbacks scandal as rivals begin ‘moving against him’?

  • While analysts say Prime Minister Fumio Kishida can survive until October 2025, his support is falling amid ‘great turmoil’ within the ruling LDP and growing public anger
  • Independent politicians Shigeru Ishida and Seiko Noda have emerged as candidates who could replace Kishida in a leadership challenge

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Japan’s Prime Minister Fumio Kishida is reeling as yet more reports emerge of LDP politicians failing to report income and expenditures from fundraising parties organised by the party’s factions. Photo: dpa

With Prime Minister Fumio Kishida struggling to limit the fallout from the snowballing kickbacks scandal that has engulfed Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), his rivals are sharpening their knives and looking to make the most of the political opportunity they have been gifted.

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“Kishida can theoretically survive because he does not have to face a general election until as late as October 2025, but it is hard to predict what might happen if his support rate continues to fall,” said Yoichi Shimada, a professor of politics and international relations at Fukui Prefectural University.

“It is clear that some in the party are already moving against him,” he told This Week in Asia.

Kishida is reeling as yet more reports emerge in the media of LDP politicians failing to report income and expenditures from fundraising parties organised by the party’s factions, including the powerful conservative wing of the party that used to be headed by former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe.

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