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Explainer | Thailand’s election explained: a battle royale for junta’s Prayuth Chan-ocha and the Shinawatras

  • Five years after the latest in a long string of coups, democracy is back in town in Thailand
  • Or at least, that’s what it looks like. But in Sunday’s election, winning the most votes and winning power are not the same thing

Reading Time:6 minutes
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Pro-democracy demonstrators with images of Thai Prime Minister and junta leader Prayuth Chan-ocha. Photo: EPA
Democracy lovers hope Thailand’s general election on Sunday will restore civilian rule after five years and send the military rulers back to their barracks.
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But with just three days to the landmark vote, the consensus among most observers is that the chances of such an outcome are slim.

The best case scenario is that the two warring camps – military-royalists on one side, and rural-backed democrats on another, strike a grand bargain to jointly govern the country and end a decades-long stand off that has resulted in two coups, bouts of political violence and anaemic economic growth.

The big fear however is that junta chief Prayuth Chan-ocha – leader of the 2014 coup – will refuse to hand over power in the event his political proxies are trounced by the pro-democrat allies of the Shinawatra political family.

That would extend the Thai Royal Army’s outsize influence in the politics of the coup-happy kingdom.

This Week in Asia takes you through six key questions about Sunday’s election.

WHY SO IMPORTANT?

Optimists hope the vote will usher in a new era for Thailand, putting behind the political strife the country has been mired in since 2006, when the military staged the first of two coups in the past couple of decades. Before that, the military had staged 10 coups over the span of 74 years.
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