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France’s allies relieved by Le Pen loss but wonder ... what’s next?

  • France’s allies were relieved after Marine Le Pen’s far-right failed to win a snap election, but noted a hung parliament could also be an issue for Europe

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Electoral posters of Marine Le Pen and Jordan Bardella from the far-right party ‘Rassemblement National’ near party headquarters one day after their defeat in the second round of the parliamentary elections, in Paris, France. Photo: EPA-EFE

Many of France’s allies breathed a sigh of relief on Monday after Marine Le Pen’s far-right failed to win a snap election, but they noted that a messy coalition from a hung parliament could also pose headaches for Europe.

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Le Pen’s National Rally (RN) had been favourite to top the polls, raising the risk of France’s first far-right government since World War II and threatening to upend economic and foreign policy in the euro zone’s second-largest economy.

In particular, Ukraine’s allies feared a Le Pen-led government could be soft on Moscow and pare back military aid that Kyiv has relied on since the Russian invasion in 2022, though her party has latterly said Russia was a threat.

The National Rally’s defeat signals at least a temporary pushback against a far-right surge in Europe, but could herald a period of instability with a new government in an uneasy “cohabitation” with President Emmanuel Macron.

“First of all, I am quite relieved there was no right-wing landslide,” said Germany’s Vice Chancellor Robert Habeck, lauding efforts to prevent a “drifting towards nationalism and thereby moving Europe into even more difficult waters.”

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“But nevertheless the election result will now represent an enormous challenge, especially for France itself, but of course also for Europe, which is currently in the phase of reorganisation after the European elections, and also for the German-French relationship,” he added.

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