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Can China encourage its people to have more babies? New local government proposal attempts to address demographic fears

  • Proposal to create a ‘good matchmaking environment’ and motivate women aged between 21 to 29 to give birth includes increasing benefits for married couples
  • Experts raise doubts over the proposal, pointing to ethical issues over further population control and the high cost of living in Chinese cities

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China reported 14.65 million births in 2019, its lowest number since 1961, and the country’s population could start to shrink as soon as 2027, according to a state-run think tank in Beijing. Photo: Barcroft Media via Getty Images

A local government proposal that encourages people in China to have more babies has reignited concerns over the country’s looming demographic crisis and raised doubt over whether it can work.

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Guo Xingping, director of the state-owned Shanxi Province Reproductive Science Institute, presented the proposal to legislators in the central province of Shanxi. He said the government should create a “good matchmaking environment and encourage women aged between 21 and 29 to give birth during this optimal reproductive period”.

The proposal addresses deep anxiety China has about a future demographic crisis, with the country’s ageing society and declining workforce threatening its future development. To combat this, the proposal suggests a framework be developed to incentivise people to have more babies.

China’s population could start to shrink as soon as 2027, according to a worst-case scenario proposed by the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, a state-run think tank in Beijing. The government worries that such a scenario could slow down economic growth and put pressure on the national pension fund.

The high costs associated with getting married and having a family in modern Chinese society is one of the things that has been blamed for the slowing birth rate. Photo: AFP
The high costs associated with getting married and having a family in modern Chinese society is one of the things that has been blamed for the slowing birth rate. Photo: AFP
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In 2019, China reported 14.65 million births, the lowest number since 1961, when China was in the grips of famine.
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