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‘Hong Kong is over’? Economist Stephen Roach defends article intended as ‘wake-up call’; Xinhua hits out at ‘so-called experts’ trying to ‘contain China’

  • In fresh opinion piece, Stephen Roach says title of original commentary claiming ‘Hong Kong is over’ was overstatement, but maintains doubts exist over city’s future
  • Chinese state media Xinhua weighs into wider debate, saying some Western news outlets and ‘so-called experts’ spread false claims to use ‘Hong Kong to contain China’

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Light at the end of a tunnel in Ngau Tau Kok. Economist Stephen Roach says clouds remain on the horizon given problems in mainland China’s economy and the threat of a talent exodus. Photo: Xiaomei Chen

An American economist has defended an article he wrote that claimed “Hong Kong is over”, saying it was intended as a “wake-up call” given his perception of a “growing undercurrent of angst” about the city’s future.

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Chinese state media also weighed into the wider debate over the city’s investment and business environment, saying some Western news outlets and “so-called experts” had spread false claims to “achieve their sinister plot of using Hong Kong to contain China”.

“Their true objective is to shake people’s confidence, disrupt the economic development and social stability of Hong Kong, as well as hinder the implementation of Article 23 and Hong Kong’s progress from stability to prosperity,” Xinhua said, referring to home-grown security legislation the city must pass under the Basic Law, its mini-constitution.
Yale University faculty member Stephen Roach says he hopes the serious questions about the city’s future could be a form of “good trouble”. Photo: Xiaomei Chen
Yale University faculty member Stephen Roach says he hopes the serious questions about the city’s future could be a form of “good trouble”. Photo: Xiaomei Chen
In a fresh opinion piece published on Tuesday by the Post, Stephen Roach, faculty member at Yale University and former Hong Kong-based chair of Morgan Stanley Asia, responded to controversy over his original commentary in the Financial Times, this time offering a more open-ended line of inquiry over the city’s prospects.

“Time and again, Hong Kong has defied the calls for its demise, with a series of Phoenix-like resurrections. Why shouldn’t we expect the same this time?” he wrote.

But Roach maintained that serious doubts existed over the future.

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“Resilience this time will require a new-found political and economic policy autonomy that seems highly unlikely,” he said.

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