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China is a long way from reaching this year’s space launch target

Nearly half of the planned 100 missions have yet to take place, with one rocket engineer saying that lofty goal was ‘never possible’

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Up to 15 more missions are anticipated before the end of December. Photo: Xinhua
Ling Xinin Ohio

China is running out of time to meet its ambitious goal for space launches in 2024, with nearly half of the planned missions yet to take place.

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The country’s space authorities had set a target of 100 launches this year but only 56 of those had been completed by mid-November, according to data from space activity trackers in and outside China.
In contrast, Texas-based SpaceX had already reached its 100th Falcon 9 flight of the year by October, a historic milestone for the company’s workhorse reusable rocket.

Jonathan McDowell, an astronomer and space historian at Harvard University, said rocket reusability – particularly the repeated use of Falcon 9’s first stages – was a major factor in the United States’ lead over China in space launches.

A Beijing-based rocket engineer, speaking on condition of anonymity, expressed little surprise at China falling short of its target. “It was never possible to complete that many [launches] in the first place,” he said.

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The engineer previously worked for a state-owned space launch vehicle manufacturer and is now part of team developing a reusable rocket at a major space company.

He said China’s commercial space sector was struggling with insufficient funding, a shortage of talent and limited government support.

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