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China’s Henan bank scandal not just a financial crisis, it may be a lasting political calamity: analysts

  • China’s central government must find ways to promptly repay the depositors or risk the effects of damaged public confidence, say scholars
  • Depositors’ lost US$6 billion is reminder to authorities that advanced technology alone cannot maintain stability, says academic

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On Sunday, July 10, demonstrators hold up signs protesting against the freezing of deposits by some rural-based banks, outside a People’s Bank of China building in Zhengzhou, Henan province. The text in the foreground reads, “Henan Bank, return to us our legal deposits! The people’s life-saving deposits!” Photo: Reuters
The Henan bank scandal, in which 40 billion yuan (US$6 billion) in deposits disappeared, is more than a Chinese banking crisis – it is a political crisis that could undermine people’s confidence in local governance and also other local banks, according to analysts.
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The blow to public confidence in financial stability and the government’s ability to protect their legitimate interests could be a long-term issue, unless the central government can find ways to promptly repay the depositors, they say.

Dali Yang, a political scientist at the University of Chicago, said the protest in Henan was a major political crisis because of its scale and severe nature.

“This is a credibility crisis involving not just a few rural banks in Henan province but a large number of grass-roots account holders across the nation. The economic loss is enormous,” Yang said.

“From a Marxist framework, finance and economic risks are essentially political risks and that’s why many are concerned with containing the problem from spreading further.”

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The timing could not be worse. Since April, the scandal has continued to snowball to a massive scale mere months away from the keynote Communist Party’s national congress, when Chinese President Xi Jinping is expected to start his third term as party secretary.
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