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China will have over 1,000 nuclear weapons by 2030, exceeding US predictions, Pentagon report on PLA expansion says

  • China ‘will continue to rapidly modernise, diversify and expand its nuclear forces’, US Department of Defence report released on Thursday says
  • Report suggests PLA has speeded up its building of sea-based nuclear platforms, including expanding Yalong Bay submarine base from four to six piers

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A US Department of Defence report issued on Thursday says China is likely to have more than 500 operational nuclear warheads and has been expanding its land, sea,  and air-based nuclear delivery platforms. Photo: AP
A new Pentagon report points to the People’s Liberation Army’s growing nuclear capabilities and more advanced weapons, which experts believe may be used by Beijing as deterrence and bring greater pressure to bear on Taipei.
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According to a US Department of Defence report titled “2023 Report on Military and Security Developments Involving the People’s Republic of China” released on Thursday, Beijing is “on track to exceed previous projections” in boosting its nuclear capabilities.

The report said China was likely to have more than 500 operational nuclear warheads, with the number expected to exceed 1,000 by 2030, adding it has been expanding its quantity of “land-, sea-, and air-based nuclear delivery platforms” in the past decade by investing in infrastructure to support its nuclear forces.

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Taiwan holds nuclear emergency drill as mainland Chinese planes enter island’s air defence zone

Taiwan holds nuclear emergency drill as mainland Chinese planes enter island’s air defence zone

“Over the next decade, [China] will continue to rapidly modernise, diversify and expand its nuclear forces,” the report said. “Compared to the PLA’s nuclear modernisation efforts a decade ago, current efforts dwarf previous attempts in both scale and complexity.”

Beijing’s build-up of its nuclear arsenal is well understood to be part of its deterrence against interventions – especially from the United States and Japan – in the event of a war on Taiwan.
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