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Africa’s trade deficit shrinks as exports to China surge – but experts say it won’t last

  • Exports from Africa to China have soared in the first half of the year, while imports from China fell slightly

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Exports from Africa to China, such as this feed corn from South Africa, rose in the first half of 2024, while African imports from China fell. Photo: Xinhua

China’s imports from Africa rose by 14 per cent year on year to reach US$60.15 billion in the first half of 2024, according to the latest Chinese customs data.

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During the same period, however, Chinese exports to the continent fell marginally by 2.3 per cent to US$84.85 billion, figures from the General Administration of Customs showed. Over the six months, total China-Africa trade grew by 3.9 per cent year on year to US$145 billion.
Observers attributed the boost in imports from Africa to the increased production of minerals, rising commodity prices and the depreciation of key African currencies. But, they said, while a shrinking trade deficit was good news for Africa, it was not likely to last.
Resource-rich African countries have seen heavy investment from Chinese companies as they ramp up mineral production amid the global push for green energy. One such country is Zimbabwe, a major source of lithium, which has had an influx of billions of dollars worth of investments and acquisitions from China in the Asian giant’s push to dominate the lithium-ion battery market.
Similarly, the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), which is the world’s largest producer of cobalt and a major source of copper, remains a major source of materials for China’s electric vehicle battery industry. China also imports minerals such as bauxite from Guinea and oil from Nigeria, Angola, Gabon and Ghana.
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China’s largest trading partner in Africa is South Africa. In the first half of the year, the value of that trade hit US$27.5 billion, according to Chinese customs data.

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