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Can China take advantage of rift between South Korea and Japan?

  • Seoul’s decision not to renew agreement with Tokyo on sharing military information could provide Beijing with a golden opportunity, Ankit Panda writes
  • End of GSOMIA will be a setback for the United States, which had underscored the central role of strong alliances in region

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South Korea and Japan might not be enemies, but they are far from being friends. Photo: Bloomberg
Relations between South Korea and Japan, two major US allies in northeast Asia, appear to be in free fall. In the final days of August, the South Korean government announced it would not renew the 2016 General Security of Military Information Agreement (GSOMIA) with Japan later this year, chipping away at a foundational intelligence-sharing agreement between Seoul and Tokyo.
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The announcement came in the same 30-day period that marked the most intense bout of North Korean missile testing since 2017. For South Korea, however, the decision was about sending a message. Anti-Japanese sentiment in Korea spiked after Tokyo’s decision earlier this summer to impose export controls on Seoul.

Japan’s decision was borne of a general animus about what was seen in Tokyo as the current South Korean progressive government’s lack of willingness to adhere to past agreements between the two countries. The fig leaf for Japan’s action was concern that South Korea was improperly handling certain sensitive chemicals.

Relations between South Korea and Japan, two major US allies in northeast Asia, appear to be in free fall. Photo: AFP
Relations between South Korea and Japan, two major US allies in northeast Asia, appear to be in free fall. Photo: AFP

What we are witnessing today in northeast Asia is the possible origin of a new reality where South Korea and Japan begin to openly see each as adversaries.

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That’s a strong word, but it describes the current spiral of cost-imposition measures by each side on the other. They’re not quite enemies, but they’re certainly not friends.

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