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India keeps wary eye on Bhutan election as China seeks to draw kingdom into its orbit

  • Bhutan, ‘one of the last barriers’ in China’s bid to exert influence in South Asia, will elect a new parliament next week
  • Beijing and Thimphu are also moving towards ending a border dispute, a deal analysts say would have ‘far-reaching implications’ for New Delhi

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People line up to vote at a polling station in Thimphu, Bhutan. File photo: AFP
Squeezed between giant arch-rivals India and China, the landlocked mountain kingdom of Bhutan was long isolated by icy Himalayan peaks.
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But as Bhutan readies to elect a new parliament in Thimphu on January 9, China and India are watching the contest with keen interest as they eye strategic contested border zones, analysts warn.

A “cooperation agreement” signed between Bhutan and China in October after talks over their disputed northern frontier sparked concern in India, which has long regarded Bhutan as a buffer state firmly under its orbit.

Bhutan is “one of the last barriers” in China’s bid to exert influence in South Asia, said Harsh V. Pant, an international relations professor at King’s College London.

India is determined not to let China extend its influence further across what New Delhi sees as its natural sphere of influence, wary after a swathe of muscular trade deals and loans by Beijing, including with Bangladesh, Nepal, the Maldives and Sri Lanka.

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Thimphu and Beijing do not have formal diplomatic relations.

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