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The world is watching China’s stimulus package, and trade relations are in the spotlight

China relies on imports, other countries need its exports, and the nation’s economic slowdown is affecting both

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The volume of iron ore imports from trade partners could be affected by China’s economic slowdown if less steel is needed for large-scale construction projects. Photo: Xinhua

China’s slowing economic growth is having impacts that extend beyond its borders, with the potential even to reverse roles in some long-standing trade relations, though the government’s stimulus measures could ease concerns, according to analysts.

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While Beijing is gradually unfurling a stimulus package that began with larger-than-expected monetary easing in late September, the rest of the world is keen on gleaning the package’s monetary size and discerning how quickly China can get back its appetite for imports, from Australian iron ore to French luxuries.

“Slowing Chinese growth has a cascading effect across the entire globe,” said Nick Marro, a Hong Kong-based lead analyst for global trade with the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU). “The prolonged period of demand weakness that we’ve seen in China has already been acting as a net drag on global activity.”

The country, long dubbed the world’s factory, uses imported fuels, materials and machinery to make goods for its vast domestic market, as well as for exports, an anchor for the 126-trillion-yuan (US$17.7 trillion) gross domestic product.

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China’s September import growth slowed to 2.4 per cent, year on year, dipping from 2.5 per cent a month earlier, according to trade data released by the General Administration of Customs on Monday.
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