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China-Philippine flights to get wings clipped amid low demand, geopolitics

An expected reduction in routes between China and the Philippines comes as post-pandemic demand has not taken off, while their maritime dispute has also chilled travel

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Philippine-based Cebu Pacific’s president has said his airline would not restore Beijing flights because air travel had fallen short of pre-pandemic demand. Photo: AFP

Weak demand linked to choke points in the Chinese economy has prompted airlines to plan cuts in their China-Philippine flights for the final three months of the year, according to analysts.

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And they say geopolitical friction between the two Asian countries is also playing a role in deterring travel that would help airlines prosper.

AirAsia Philippines, China Southern Airlines and Qingdao Airlines have all indicated intentions to halt some of their flights in the fourth quarter, according to the industry data platform OAG Aviation.

Philippine-based Cebu Pacific’s president, Alexander Lao, said separately last month that his airline would not restore Beijing flights because air travel had fallen short of pre-pandemic demand, the media outlet Philstar Global reported. The airline had a Manila-Beijing route in 2019.

And OAG data indicates that AirAsia Philippines, an affiliate of Malaysia-based budget carrier AirAsia, will discontinue its Manila-Shenzhen flights from October, as well as the Beijing connection.

It doesn’t make any sense now to do tourism in the Philippines
Andy Xie, Shanghai-based economist
China’s economic growth is slowing due to a property market crisis, hesitant consumption and, as of August, a softening of industrial activity.
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