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Explainer | Where now for China after economy lost momentum ‘across the board’ in August?

China’s economic data in August largely disappointed, pointing to difficulties in meeting Beijing’s annual growth target

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Workers load and pack gift boxes outside a supermarket in Beijing. Photo: AP

China released key economic data for August on Saturday, including key retail sales and investment figures, having a day earlier published new bank lending figures.

1. Household spending remains cautious as retail sales growth dips

Retail sales in China, a key gauge of consumption, rose in August by 2.1 per cent, year on year, after registering 2.7 per cent growth in July.
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The reading fell short of the 2.68 per cent projected by Chinese financial data provider Wind and barely managed to avoid reaching a new post-pandemic low, said Lynn Song, chief economist for Greater China at ING.

“The data continues to paint a clear picture of cautious household spending,” said Song, who added that discretionary consumption categories – including gold, jewellery, cars and cosmetics – were hit particularly hard in August.

2. Property investment continues to drag

Property investment in China – a figure that has sagged amid persistent uncertainties in the real estate market – dropped by 10.2 per cent, year on year, in the first eight months of the year, matching the fall recorded in the January-July period.

“The main drag on growth still stems from the property sector,” said analysts at HSBC.

3. Fixed-asset investment growth falls to lowest level this year

China’s overall fixed-asset investment, which includes major items such as infrastructure construction, manufacturing and property spending, rose by 3.4 per cent in the first eight months of the year, compared with a rise of 3.6 per cent in the first seven months.

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