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Explainer | China’s census: what is it and why is the latest population survey so important?

  • Conducted once a decade, China’s national population census is crucial to future economic and social planning
  • China’s seventh national population census took place in November and December 2020 and was released in May 2021

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China conducted its seventh national population census in November and December 2020, where a huge range of personal and household information, including the age, education, occupation, marital and migration status of people living in the world’s most populous nation was gathered. Photo: AFP

Why is China’s census important?

The decennial census is key to gauging changes in the size and diversity of China’s population, making it an essential tool for future government policies.
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Government investment in infrastructure and social welfare are closely related to demographics. For instance, the number of children or elderly determined by the census forms the basis for planning schools and retirement homes.

One of the key reasons so-called ghost towns with few residents or functioning businesses dot the country is because local governments have in the past overestimated population growth when planning new districts. Many of these shrinking cities have seen huge infrastructure investment while the population is in decline.

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China begins once-in-a-decade census to gather details about its 1.4 billion population

China begins once-in-a-decade census to gather details about its 1.4 billion population

Demographers also monitor census data closely because it gives them an opportunity to verify the accuracy of annual birth data published by the central government. In previous years, there has been a large gap between official data and academic estimates based on the census.

For instance, combining 2010 census data with separate information on the infant death rate and life expectancy, demographers Huang Wenzheng and Liang Jianzhang estimated in September there were 15.7 million births in 1997, which was nearly 5 million fewer than the official figure.

Few local governments regularly disclose birth figures. In one rare case, Ningbo, a city in the eastern province of Zhejiang that has a population close to that of New York City, reported a nearly 20 per cent decline in new births in the first half of 2020.
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How does China’s census work?

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