Opinion | Amid Western sanctions, Putin courts Southeast Asia at belt and road forum

Several Southeast Asian leaders were feted by Russian President Vladimir Putin at last week’s Belt and Road Forum in Beijing as part of his pivot to Asia, elevating the importance of the region’s political centrality and economic vitality to Russia’s Indo-Pacific strategy.

This was Putin’s second official foreign trip since the International Criminal Court issued an arrest warrant for him. To the surprise of many observers, his main scheduled meetings were dedicated to Southeast Asian leaders, including new Thai Prime Minister Srettha Thavisin, Vietnam’s recently appointed President Vo Van Thuong and Laos President Thongloun Sisoulith. Putin also had an unscheduled informal discussion with Indonesia’s President Joko Widodo.

Moscow sees Thailand as important in its push to develop deeper diplomatic ties with Southeast Asia, though commerce was the focus of the discussion last week. The meeting between Putin and Thavisin concentrated on their commitment to increase bilateral trade, which fell sharply last year with the start of the Ukraine war but has since shown tentative signs of revival.

About a third of Thailand’s exports to Russia are cars, automotive parts and machinery, among other high value-added products. Thailand also exports large volumes of processed commodities to Russia, including refined oil, seafood and various agricultural products. There is much potential for Thailand’s industrial and agricultural products to replace the Western brands removed from the Russian market.