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The View | Asia’s ‘thriving tiger’ economies have a chance to be trailblazers in a world disrupted by geopolitics and tech

  • Hong Kong, Singapore, South Korea and Taiwan have managed to hold their own against developed economies in other regions for decades
  • However, amid geopolitical fragmentation, game-changing technological advancements and social divisions, they need to adapt quickly

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Shoppers browse merchandise at a shopping mall on Orchard Road in Singapore on December 23, 2022. In the 1980s, Hong Kong, Singapore, South Korea and Taiwan came to be known as “tiger economies” because of their rapid pace of growth. Photo: Reuters

Only a handful of economies in the world are both rich and have continued to grow, and about half of them are located in Asia. But despite their success, these economies now face significant challenges to further growth and need to find a new path forward.

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The four tiger economies of Hong Kong, Singapore, South Korea and Taiwan boast gross domestic product per capita, at purchasing power parity, of above US$50,000. They have also been able to consistently deliver growth rates of almost 3 per cent after they got rich. These thriving tigers have on average maintained high productivity and competitiveness, and relatively low youth unemployment, compared to many developed economies in other regions. Common factors for their success include continued pro-growth policies, flexible labour markets, and upgrading of infrastructure.

But future growth will take place in a world of geo-economic fragmentation, technological disruption, and increasing social divisions. The Covid-19 pandemic has also ushered in more permanent shifts in global supply chains, leading to slowdown in trade and investment that have been key to these economies’ growth models. Risks of economic stagnation, inadequate workforce preparedness for the digital economy, uneven growth, and lack of social mobility are structural issues requiring longer-term solutions.

Governments of the thriving tiger economies have largely been proactive in addressing the skill mismatch between education and work, promoting work-based learning and providing financial incentives to encourage employers to offer apprenticeships and internships. They now need to help skilled workers build lifelong competencies to meet the changing demands of a digital economy.

Singapore’s SkillsFuture and South Korea’s Digital New Deal are examples of coordinated efforts to align talent with the digital economy. Yet the focus on technical competencies is insufficient.

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Career pathways also need to include cross-disciplinary knowledge, project management and collaboration skills with both humans and AI, and adaptability and agility in the face of a changing global environment. As workers stay in the workforce longer and retire later, more will struggle to catch up with the accelerating pace of change without these broad skills.
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