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Opinion | Ukraine war: Kishida’s hopes of making Japan a global diplomatic and military player risk crucial ties

  • Foreign policy is one of the top priorities of the Kishida administration, as is increasing Japan’s military strength and ensuring regional stability
  • Efforts to make Japan a bigger player in Ukraine could damage ties with China and Russia, though, which would put Japan’s economy at greater risk

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Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida (right) listens as Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky speaks during an online meeting with Group of 7 leaders at the prime minister’s official residence in Tokyo on February 24. Kishida faces a difficult task in pursuing his goal of increasing Japan’s diplomatic and military clout without damaging important relations with China and Russia. Photo: AFP

Japanese Foreign Minister Yoshimasa Hayashi was absent from the recent Group of 20 meeting in New Delhi because of the need to attend the budget session at the National Diet in Tokyo. Article 63 of the Japanese constitution stipulates that all cabinet members must be present at such Diet sessions to make themselves available for questioning, with the current session of parliament beginning on January 23.

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Nevertheless, Hayashi did attend the Quad meeting on March 3, which India also hosted. This suggests his absence from the G20 meeting was not based solely on legal constraints and reflected the priorities of the Kishida administration.

Prime Minister Fumio Kishida became the only Group of 7 leader who has not yet visited Ukraine when US President Joe Biden and Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni made surprise appearances in Kyiv last month. Kishida’s political opponents and scholars hostile to him took this opportunity to intensify their attacks on him, arguing Japan must fulfil its obligations as a global leader and express the nation’s solidarity with the people of Ukraine by visiting Kyiv.

Foreign policy is a top priority for the Kishida administration. Yet, unlike the United States or Italy, Japan’s geographic proximity to Russia inevitably forces Kishida to be more cautious in making a prudent decision concerning the Ukraine conflict.

Japan must also consider the motivations of its its biggest trade partner, China, which has publicly maintained a neutral stance on the war in Ukraine.
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Japan has imported petroleum and natural gas from Middle Eastern nations via sea routes and from Sakhalin – an island over which Japan and Russia have historically fought and is now controlled by Russia.

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