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Opinion | As Ukraine faces a war of attrition, European unity is fracturing

  • While EU support for Ukraine remains strong, Europeans are divided over long-term goals, with some wanting a swift return to peace and others calling for a decisive defeat of Russia
  • This split may widen as the war drags on, with both Moscow and Kyiv willing to pour more resources into the conflict

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Ukrainian service members are seen near a frontline in the Zaporizhzhia region on August 18. Photo: Reuters

Since Russia invaded Ukraine, one of the genuine geopolitical surprises has been the stronger-than-expected unity the West has shown against Moscow.

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Seven economic sanctions packages have already been announced by the EU alone, yet with August 24 marking the six-month anniversary of the conflict, cracks are showing.

Hungary has been the most outspoken outlier so far. Yet even behind wider European public statements of support for Ukraine, there are significant differences of opinion, including between Western European nations such as Germany and France, and Eastern states which want to see a tougher response, such as the Nordics, Baltics and Poland.

The schisms within Europe were laid bare in a June poll by the European Council on Foreign Relations. It showed that while Europeans feel strong solidarity with Ukraine and support sanctions, they are split over longer-term goals. There is a “Peace” camp (35 per cent) that wants a speedy end to the war, and a “Justice” camp that believes the more pressing goal is to punish Russia (22 per cent).

In all countries, apart from Poland, the “Peace” camp is larger than the “Justice” camp. European citizens also worry, increasingly, about the cost of sanctions and the threat of military escalation.

(From left) Romanian President Klaus Iohannis, former Italian prime minister Mario Draghi, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, French President Emmanuel Macron and German Chancellor Olaf Scholz hold a press conference, following a meeting in Kyiv to discuss Ukrainian EU membership, on June 16. Photo: AFP
(From left) Romanian President Klaus Iohannis, former Italian prime minister Mario Draghi, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, French President Emmanuel Macron and German Chancellor Olaf Scholz hold a press conference, following a meeting in Kyiv to discuss Ukrainian EU membership, on June 16. Photo: AFP

So far, these differences have been camouflaged quite successfully by the Brussels-based club. However, this may become harder to do as the economic and political pain of the Ukraine crisis cuts deeper.

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