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Macroscope | As the UK opens up, other major economies will follow the path to post-pandemic normality

  • The Omicron wave is likely to peak soon, and as more people are vaccinated, life might finally be returning to normal, albeit with adjustments
  • Most importantly, social restrictions including those on travel will gradually be lifted, with massive positive knock-on effects on economies

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Commuters on London Bridge make their way into offices on January 20, after advice to work from home was dropped by Britain’s Prime Minister Boris Johnson. Photo: PA via AP
The UK government has recently announced that it is lifting most of the remaining Covid-19 restrictions on social mobility, including the guidance to work from home. Evidence from around the world suggests that while the Omicron variant is highly contagious, its impact on the health of individuals and on health care provision is much less than was the case with earlier variants.
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With the continued roll-out of vaccinations and the Omicron wave likely to peak before the end of the first quarter, there does seem to be light at the end of the pandemic tunnel. Life might be returning to normal, or at the very least we will learn to live with a disease that is endemic and easier to manage than has been the case for the past two years.

Normalisation in everyday life will mean the gradual removal of restrictions on social activity and travel. This will not happen everywhere at the same time. Countries have imposed differing degrees of restrictions throughout the pandemic but, over time, things will broadly open up. Of course, some things have changed permanently.

In many industries, working from home – at least for some of the working week – is going to be normal. Maintaining and proving vaccination status is also something that is likely to remain a feature of post-pandemic life – just in case.

Bethany Stief works from home while twin six-year-old girls Nora and Willa attend online school amid surging Covid-19 cases in Hamilton, Ontario, Canada. Photo: Reuters
Bethany Stief works from home while twin six-year-old girls Nora and Willa attend online school amid surging Covid-19 cases in Hamilton, Ontario, Canada. Photo: Reuters

Yet, we should look forward to travel and holidays, attending outdoor events, and enjoying our cities and all they have to offer. The economic benefits of returning to levels of social activity that existed before March 2020 should be obvious.

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