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Opinion | The Ukraine-Russia crisis is no longer the US’ problem in a world of rising regional powers

  • While US-Russia talks may ease fears of a Russian invasion of Ukraine, the two sides fundamentally disagree on how security should be managed in the region
  • As the world moves away from a US-dominated power structure, perhaps Washington should step back and let Europe take care of itself

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Russian President Vladimir Putin (left) and US President Joe Biden meet in Geneva, Switzerland, on June 16, 2021. The leaders will send senior officials for fresh talks in Geneva on January 10. Photo: AP
The US and Russia have entered 2022 with an apparent desire to find common ground over Ukraine. Not only did US President Joe Biden and his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin have a lengthy phone call on December 30, it was also announced that the two sides will hold talks in Geneva on January 10.
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These are positive signs, given the fear surrounding Russia’s intensions in Ukraine, particularly after it amassed some 100,000 troops on the Ukrainian border. While this might just be periodic sabre rattling, an intervention by Russia cannot be ruled out (Moscow was brazen enough to annex Crimea, after all).

However, like previous talks and initiatives, a lasting agreement is unlikely to be reached in 2022 because the underlying issue – the lack of an agreed Eastern European security architecture – remains a point of significant discord.

Crudely, a security architecture is “a system of norms, practices, relationships, alliances and institutions constructed or developed by nations to address, enhance or ensure international and/or regional security”. In other words, it is an arrangement on how the security of a particular region should be managed.

The main Western players in this security dilemma – the US and EU – see Eastern Europe as a region for Western engagement. Indeed, after the collapse of the Soviet Union, the European Union and Nato expanded eastward and created something of a material and ideological hegemony in the region (with Russia and Belarus defiant resisters).

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Conversely, for Russia, Eastern Europe is a highly sensitive security setting which cannot be dominated by the West. It sees the area as not only geographically close to Moscow but is also culturally, linguistically and historically linked to the Russian civilisation.

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