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An employee walks between racks holding doors for all-electric Porsche Taycan luxury automobiles at the Porsche AG factory in Stuttgart, Germany. Photo: Bloomberg

Why is there a wide variance in economic outcomes and welfare among countries? Why are some nations poor and others rich? These questions have challenged development economists and policymakers for centuries.

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While no singular theory explains all cases, accumulating scholarly evidence suggests industrialisation is a necessary condition for nations to climb the development ladder. The only exceptions are natural resource-rich nations, and small economies that can generate wealth from tourism, casinos or geographic serendipity.

Manufacturing and industrial policy are certainly not a new recipe for economic development. Two centuries ago, US Treasury secretary Alexander Hamilton wrote extensively on the importance of industrial policy for economic development in his “Report on Manufactures” when North America was an agrarian society with a surfeit of land.

By the end of the 20th century, however, it was considered outdated and inefficient by most economists. According to this view, we are living in a quaternary-based service economy: robust manufacturing capacity is neither a necessary nor sufficient condition for a country’s development.
Workers assemble electronic parts at a factory in Huaibei, in central China’s Anhui province, on November 29. Photo: AP
Workers assemble electronic parts at a factory in Huaibei, in central China’s Anhui province, on November 29. Photo: AP
Yet, in the past decade, industrial policy has made a striking comeback in both academic and policy circles.
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