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Opinion | Modi’s mistake is in trying to turn the Indian economy into a Chinese dragon

As India watches the Chinese economy pulls farther ahead of its own, it must realise a growth model built on a one-party system is a poor fit for India’s diverse democracy. Policies formulated in the comfort of government offices cannot be pushed through with brute force

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Men resting in front of closed book stalls during a coronavirus lockdown in Kolkata on August 31, 2020. Photo: AFP

At the beginning of this millennium, experts and analysts had written reams about how the balance of power and trade was shifting from the West to the East. China and India were seen as propelling this, and the two countries were spoken in the same breath as future powerhouses that will be pivotal in a new economic order.

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By then, China had firmly established itself as the factory of the world, whereas India was moving up as a provider of back-end services as multinationals outsourced their administrative and software management to the country. Two decades down the line, China continues to strengthen its position, while India is struggling to keep its economy moving forward and has almost dropped out of contention as a future economic powerhouse.

The last time the Indian economy recorded a healthy growth of around 8 per cent was in 2016. It has since been sliding down.

After Narendra Modi took over as the prime minister in 2014, many had expected the Indian economy to be put on a fast track as the preceding years had seen the country stumble from one corruption scandal after the other, blunting its growth.

But six years later, the Modi government is now presiding over one of the worst economic periods for the country, with the Covid-19 pandemic ravaging different sectors of society.

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India trains workers to handle Covid-19 mass vaccination programme

India trains workers to handle Covid-19 mass vaccination programme
More worryingly, Modi’s supporters and economic advisers look to the Chinese growth model for inspiration, without realising that the two societies are dissimilar, like apple and orange. The Chinese dragon can move faster, twisting whichever way necessary as it has a political system under one-party communist rule that was honed to drive people like a herd. India, a multiparty democracy, has always been like an elephant that needs more time and space to move ahead.
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