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Opinion | Coronavirus challenge offers an opportunity to learn from history and ease into post-pandemic new normal

  • Responses to crises like the Spanish flu, Y2K and HIV provide a road map for adapting to life in a world beset by Covid-19
  • Disruption to the global economy opens the door for important reforms such as reskilling, improving working conditions, and focusing on health care and social security

Reading Time:4 minutes
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A girl washes her hands at the Alix de Bretagne school in Saint-Aubin-du-Cormier, France, on May 7. The response to the Spanish flu outbreak in the early 20th century highlighted the importance of handwashing, and the lessons from that outbreak could provide a road map for living and dealing with Covid-19. Photo: AFP

Some experts argue against the precautions taken to contain Covid-19. They claim millions die from flu and tuberculosis every year, so why this global fear? There is also an economic argument, a Trumpism that goes: “The cure cannot be worse than the problem.”  

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It is important to disabuse this notion. A recent paper titled “Pandemics Depress the Economy, Public Health Interventions Do Not: Evidence from the 1918 Flu”, by economists Sergio Correia, Stephan Luck and Emil Verner, found fewer deaths in cities implementing early and aggressive interventions and faster economic growth after the pandemic.

The paper also indicates that non-pharmaceutical interventions, besides lowering mortality, may mitigate the adverse economic consequences of a pandemic.

Humankind has long been plagued by epidemics that have decimated populations. Over the past few months, there have been stories about how some people made something positive out of the outbreaks. Mentions of Shakespeare and Newton have been made, challenging us to make the best of a bad thing.

There is enough modern-day inspiration to keep social media and the publishing industry in business. However, the past is a repository of experience one must tap to live with Covid-19.

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Lessons from the Spanish flu cannot be ignored. The first is the value of social distancing. It breaks the chain of infection and reduces the pressure on the health care system. The other lesson is the danger of letting down our guard, resulting in a greater spread of the virus in the second wave. Countries are reopening economies and borders without stamping out the virus or having fail-safe detection and cures available.
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