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Why Donald Trump’s about-turn on the US dollar is right on the money

  • After months of bemoaning the strength of the greenback, the US president has good reason for now declaring his support for a strong dollar – he’s trying to shore up confidence in US paper as the Treasury goes on a borrowing spree

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US President Donald Trump, the self-proclaimed “King of Debt”, understands that potential foreign buyers of US paper will feel happier paying up if they believe the US dollar will stay strong. Photo: The New York Times / Bloomberg
“It’s a great time to have a strong [US] dollar,” President Donald Trump told Fox Business News last week. Yet, last August, Trump was tweeting that he was not thrilled with the “very strong dollar”. The US president has done an about-turn, but it makes sense. 
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Trump has adapted to circumstances and is right on the money. Trump, the self-proclaimed “King of Debt”, understands that what the United States needed from its currency in a pre-coronavirus environment is not the same as what it needs in the middle of a pandemic.

In pre-pandemic 2019, the White House identified the best interests of the US – and by extension Trump’s re-election prospects – with US exporters doing well. Their success would result in the creation of yet more employment for an economy that was already seeing substantial and sustained job creation.

As US president, “one would think that I would be thrilled with our very strong dollar. I am not!” Trump tweeted on August 8 last year, criticising tighter Federal Reserve monetary policy and complaining that US dollar strength was “making it more difficult for our great manufacturers like Caterpillar, Boeing, John Deere, our car companies, and others, to compete”.

Containers are stacked at the Port of Los Angeles on March 26. In a pre-coronavirus world, a weaker US dollar would give US exporters a competitive advantage. But the pandemic has depressed the appetite for spending, and a weak domestic currency is now of limited utility. Photo: AFP
Containers are stacked at the Port of Los Angeles on March 26. In a pre-coronavirus world, a weaker US dollar would give US exporters a competitive advantage. But the pandemic has depressed the appetite for spending, and a weak domestic currency is now of limited utility. Photo: AFP
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That was pre-Covid-19, a world before economic lockdowns, where consumers were spending and businesses investing. In that world, a more competitive currency could have helped US exporters gain some degree of competitive advantage in pursuing trade opportunities.

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