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Why Singapore’s housing model won’t work for home ownership in Hong Kong

Victor Zheng and Roger Luk say public scepticism about the Hong Kong government’s push for home ownership is well founded, as the public and private sectors serve different needs, and should be treated separately

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A record price for a home in Asia was set this month after two apartment units at Mount Nicholson (top right), a luxury housing development on The Peak in Hong Kong, were sold for HK$1.16 billion (US$149 million) to a single buyer. Hong Kong’s skyrocketing housing prices are a result of market distortions and irregularities, particularly in mortgages. Photo: AFP
In her maiden policy address, Chief Executive Carrie Lam Cheng Yuet-ngor outlined a push for home ownership as the answer to the prolonged housing problems in Hong Kong. Through various schemes, such as the “Green Form Subsidised Home Ownership Scheme”, the better-off public housing tenants and middle-income families will get help to buy their own flats. A Starter Homes scheme to help young families will also be launched.
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Apparently, the government is trying to replicate Singapore’s public housing model, despite differences between the two.

Will this policy approach work? Many Hongkongers do not believe so, as asset value (housing as an investment) exceeds occupation value (utility). According to a recent poll conducted by the Hong Kong Institute of Asia-Pacific Studies, only 30 per cent of people surveyed are positive about the new policy, while 49 per cent are unconvinced and 21 per cent have reservations.

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Hong Kong’s public housing should cater to the masses, as Singapore’s does

In Singapore, public and private housing are strictly segregated, as the government recognises that the investment and utility values of housing changes with ownership. Utility is the overriding concern in public housing, while investment is overriding in the private market.

In Hong Kong, however, public and private housing are not mutually exclusive

In Hong Kong, however, public and private housing are not mutually exclusive. Public rental housing in the city is a type of social security, yet its flats may also be sold under the “green form” scheme. Moreover, owners can subsequently pay a land premium to acquire full ownership. Such “leakage” to the private market creates policy complexities at a time of market mismatch and imbalance. Thus, the “green form” scheme is inconsistent with the policy intent of public rental housing as social security.

It is not surprising that public views on the scheme are split. Our poll found that only 42 per cent of people surveyed supported a move to regularise the scheme, while 46 per cent are opposed to it.

The policy intent of the so-called “white form” scheme, which allows middle-income families to buy subsidised flats on the secondary market with the land premium unpaid, is similarly muddled.

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Plan to spur resale of subsidised flats in Hong Kong could drive up their prices, opposition party chief warns

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