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Collapse of the North Korean regime appears inevitable, and the world needs to prepare for it

Deng Yuwen and Huang Ting say the flimsy economic plan unveiled at the Workers’ Party congress will do little to alleviate the country’s crippling problems, which include severe food shortages and growing discontent

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Deng Yuwen and Huang Ting say the flimsy economic plan unveiled at the Workers’ Party congress will do little to alleviate the country’s crippling problems, which include severe food shortages and growing discontent
There may only be 10 to 15 years left for the Kim family to govern, and a collapse could begin at any time.
There may only be 10 to 15 years left for the Kim family to govern, and a collapse could begin at any time.
The seventh ruling Worker’s Party congress in North Korea, the first in 36 years, turned out to be a coronation for Kim Jong-un, formalising the system centred on the young leader and promoting the party’s status vis-à-vis the army’s.

North Korea’s ‘rare’ party congress only shows a country at a standstill

The national byungjin strategy, which calls for securing a nuclear arsenal while seeking to develop the economy, was re-emphasised.

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A five-year plan was put forward to show the government’s commitment to economic problems, especially the supply of electricity, as Kim admitted that a lack of power has affected economic development and improvement of people’s living standards.

The general idea from the congress was thus that Pyongyang would devote greater efforts to economic reform, pay more attention to developing its economy and improve people’s lives.

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However, in reality, the plan merely opens the door to reform just a crack instead of pushing hard. Without such opening up, reforms will not make significant progress. So there is still much uncertainty over North Korea’s future.

A mural of Kim Il-sung at the Jangchon vegetable farm. Photo: Los Angeles Times/Tribune News Service
A mural of Kim Il-sung at the Jangchon vegetable farm. Photo: Los Angeles Times/Tribune News Service
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