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BlackRock turns modestly positive on China stocks, saying policymakers can no longer ignore slowdown without easing measures
- Money manager turns positive on tactical basis, saying asset allocation would need to increase in multiples before becoming a bullish bet
- Hong Kong stock market, dominated by Chinese companies, ranks among the worst performers because of regulatory onslaught
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Zhang Shidongin Shanghai
BlackRock, the world’s biggest money manager, is turning “modestly” positive on Chinese stocks, betting that policymakers are likely to counter an economic slowdown by reaching for the stimulus purse and softening a regulatory crackdown on businesses.
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The firm, which oversees US$9.5 trillion in assets globally, is “modestly positive” to upgrade its rating on onshore equities to overweight on a tactical basis, analysts including global investment strategist Wei Li said in an October 11 report. It retained an overweight bias on the nation’s bonds.
Given the small benchmark weights, and typical client allocation to Chinese assets, allocation would have to increase by multiples before they represent a bullish bet on China on a strategic basis, they added. China accounts for about 4.1 per cent weight in the MSCI All Country World Index while the US takes up 59.6 per cent.
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“The growth slowdown has hit levels policymakers can no longer ignore,” they said. “We expect to see incremental loosening across three pillars: monetary, fiscal and regulatory.” Still, investors should be mindful of ongoing geopolitical tensions, they added.
Official reports showed manufacturing in the world’s second-largest economy cooled last quarter. Its stringent application of the “three red lines” rules to control excessive debt in the property sector has slammed homes sales, sending several indebted developers into financial distress. The latest power crisis will further derail recovery, economists have said.
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