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Can China’s electric car market keep growing if Beijing pulls the plug on subsidies?

The government’s hand-holding is beginning to taper off, with subsidies set to end by 2020. It also plans to penalise carmakers that do not produce NEVs from next year

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Last year, China sold 777,000 EVs, up 53 per cent from 2016 and is on track to hit the 1 million mark in 2018. (Above) a Baojun E100 electric vehicle stands plugged in to a charging station outside a SAIC-GM-Wuling Automobile customer experience centre, in Liuzhou, Guangxi province. Photo: Bloomberg

Brian Gu was at the pinnacle of his 14-year career at JPMorgan Chase & Co., when he left the investment bank to join a start-up, betting that he’ll make a difference in helping Xpeng Motors’ quest to take the EV brand to the world stage.

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“A lot of friends asked me why I decided to jump, and into an electric car start-up,” said Gu, who holds a doctorate in biochemistry, during an April interview in Hong Kong. “The automotive industry’s move to electric vehicles and ­autonomous driving presents the most expansive growth story in the next decade.”

There’s reason for such optimism. McKinsey & Co said under the current growth trajectory, global EV sales would almost quadruple to 4.5 million units by 2020, accounting for 5 per cent of the light-vehicle market.

There’s reason for optimism in Xpeng, seeing that it has the financial banking by IDG, Morningside Venture Capital, GGV Capital and Alibaba Group Holdings, owner of this newspaper.

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This week, China’s biggest property developer Evergrande Group paid US$854 million for a 45 per cent stake in a fledging electric vehicle (EV) maker co-founded by former internet star and now blacklisted debtor Jia Yueting.

While sceptics may question Evergrande Health Industry Group’s decision to lend support to Faraday Future, a Jia venture, there is broad market optimism for EVs globally, particularly in China which is the world’s biggest car market.

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