Gold steady on Mideast tension, hopes for US fiscal talks

Gold traded steady on Tuesday following its biggest one-day rise in two weeks, supported by hopes of a U.S. solution to its fiscal problems and Middle East tension, but weighed down by a firmer dollar as a result of France’s rating downgrade.

Financial market sentiment has improved in the past two days after U.S. lawmakers expressed confidence that Congress could reach a deal to avert automatic tax hikes and spending cuts in early 2013, which could otherwise trigger another recession.

Rating agency Moody’s stripped France of its top-notch rating, chilling the euro which had rallied to its highest in nearly two weeks on Monday and pushing the dollar index slightly higher, weighing on buying interest in dollar-priced commodities from investors holding other currencies.

“People are feeling a bit at ease about the budget talks in Congress,” said Yuichi Ikemizu, head of Japan commodity trading at Standard Bank.
“But gold is in a tight range between US$1,700 and US$1,740 until we see a result of the talks at the year end, as the ’fiscal cliff’ is the focus of the market.”

If Congress reached an agreement, it could trigger a sell-down in gold, some analysts said.

“We suspect that once the final details of a fiscal cliff deal are announced (and provided it exceeds expectations), U.S. equities will push higher, the dollar will gain ground, while gold may decline,” Ed Meir, an analyst at INTL FCStone, said in a research note.