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China stocks back on the menu as Xi Jinping signals major stimulus in Politburo meeting

Strong policy tone ripples through Chinese assets, with both stocks and bonds rallying while the yuan strengthens

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A statue of a bull stands in the Lujiazui financial district of Shanghai on March 16, 2023. Photo: EPA-EFE
Zhang Shidongin Shanghai

China’s signal of a pivot to all-out stimulus policies has injected a dose of optimism into the nation’s US$10 trillion stock market, where a rebound had showed signs of stalling.

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The readout of a Politburo meeting chaired by President Xi Jinping on Monday has fanned speculation that next year Beijing is likely to deliver more interest-rate cuts, boost the government’s borrowing limit and take more steps to stabilise the beleaguered property market.
The strong policy messaging rippled through Chinese assets across the board, with both stocks and bonds rallying while the yuan strengthened, tentatively halting its depreciation against the US dollar.

“We’ve seen a decisive change by policymakers of the stance in reversing the course of the economy and supporting the capital market,” said Fang Yi, a strategist at Guotai Junan Securities in Shanghai. “There’s a historical breakthrough in setting tones for economic policies at the Politburo meeting. That’s triggered more imagination for the policies and is expected to repair investors’ confidence in the policy outlook.”

The Politburo meeting, attended by Xi and the other 23 members of the Communist Party’s decision-making body, is widely seen to have set the stage for the coming central economic work conference (CEWC) that will outline key policies for next year. All eyes have been on the CEWC for more clarity on policy signals after Beijing stopped short of fully delivering on its earlier promise of fiscal stimulus. The closed-door CEWC is expected to kick off on Wednesday and conclude on Thursday.
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The rhetoric from the Politburo meeting is the strongest in years, at a time when a deflationary trend lingers over the world’s second-largest economy and geopolitical tensions have ratcheted up after the re-election of Donald Trump. While pledging “unconventional” countercyclical measures, China also said that monetary policies would shift from “prudent” to “moderately loose” – a wording not used in top-level meetings since the aftermath of the global financial crisis in 2010.

A woman walks past the headquarters of the People’s Bank of China in Beijing on September 28, 2018. Photo: Reuters
A woman walks past the headquarters of the People’s Bank of China in Beijing on September 28, 2018. Photo: Reuters
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