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Chinese banks brace for tough year as low interest rates, property crisis hit profitability

  • Last week major banks reported declining net interest margins, a crucial measure of their profitability
  • The net interest margins of state-owned banks declined by an average of 24 basis points last year, Jefferies’ analysts said

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The headquarters of the People’s Bank of China. China’s central bank has kept the LPR low since last summer. Photo: Reuters
Elise Makin BeijingandPearl Liuin Hong Kong
China’s banking sector could be in for a challenging year ahead as interest rates continue to drop and competition for good depositors intensifies.
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Executives warned of downward pressure and analysts predict a gloomy outlook for the industry.

Last week major banks reported declining net interest margins, a crucial measure of their profitability. China Construction Bank, for example, recorded a margin of 2.02 per cent in 2022, the lowest since 2018.

“The senior management are taking the decline of our net interest margin very seriously as they are being squeezed by a lower loan prime rate (LPR) and companies and households opting for long-term deposits under the current economic environment,” said Sheng Liurong, the lender’s chief financial officer last Thursday during a results briefing.

“We believe that in the coming year, we will face some downward pressure on the net interest margin as the impact of lower LPR will continue to play out.”

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China’s central bank has kept the LPR low since last summer, with the one-year rate now at 3.65 per cent and the five-year rate at 4.3 per cent.
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